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2014 Scottish independence referendum Alex Salmond Gordon Brown The Suzanne Somers Show

Times/Sun/YouGov poll: ‘No’ 52%-48%

12 Sep, 2014

A survey by YouGov for The Times and The Sun finds that the Scottish public favor remaining in the UK by 52% compared with 48% who want independence. The numbers exclude undecided voters. YouGov says the reversal in the margin from its previous week’s Times poll – which showed Yes ahead for the first time, at 51%-49% – is due to Brown joining the debate:

Shortly before he stepped down as Prime Minister, Tony Blair warned David Cameron to beware ‘Gordon Brown’s great clunking fist.’ Cameron survived it, but Alex Salmond’s bid for Scottish independence may not. Since Brown entered the debate, the Yes bandwagon, which has been rolling so dramatically, has stalled. His warnings that independence would be bad for jobs and family finances have struck home.

YouGov’s three previous polls each showed Yes climbing in support, although Yes remains at a higher level than at any point up to late August.