Ipsos MORI poll: ‘No’ 51%-49%

An Ipsos MORI poll for STV shows support for the No campaign at 51% ahead of the referendum, and support for Yes at 49%. When the 5% of undecided voters are included the margins shift to 49% No, down five point since August, and 47% Yes, up seven points. Ipsos MORI:

Turnout for the referendum is now likely to be extremely high, with 95% telling us that they are certain to vote (up by 14 points from August). While this figure is higher, as expected, with those aged 55 and over (97%) it is very high across all age groups, including those aged 16-24, where 90% say they are certain to vote.